Federal Reserve keeps rates on hold amid internal split
Fed
The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting, even as inflation and energy prices remain elevated. Three officials—Logan, Hammack, and Kashkari—dissented in favor of a 0.25‑point increase, underscoring growing pressure inside the Fed for additional tightening. Investors had mostly anticipated a hold, but the unusually hawkish split has heightened uncertainty about the path of policy.
Stocks whipsawed as tech and AI names come under pressure
Equities
U.S. equities swung between gains and losses after the Fed decision, with the Dow falling more than 1% at one point and the S&P 500 ending slightly lower as investors reassessed rate expectations and valuations tied to artificial intelligence. A recent selloff in large technology and semiconductor stocks—driven by worries over AI spending levels, intensifying competition, and mixed chip earnings, including from SK Hynix—has added to the volatility.
Asia–Pacific markets and global macro backdrop
Global
Asian stock markets have stabilized following a sharp decline linked to concerns about AI and technology sectors, as traders look toward the Federal Reserve outcome and major U.S. tech earnings. In Australia, shares extended gains after June‑quarter CPI data came in below expectations, leading markets to trim forecasts for further rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia. The IMF’s July update describes the global economy as navigating “crosscurrents” from war and rapid AI adoption; AI‑heavy markets such as the U.S., Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and China have outperformed but face headwinds from higher interest rates and energy costs.